Ukrainian Construction Industry – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

– The Ukrainian construction industry’s growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
– Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Ukrainian construction industry
– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

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Synopsis

Following four years of contraction, the Ukrainian construction industry rebounded in 2016 and registered annual growth of 17.4% in real terms. This momentum continued in 2017 with a growth rate of 35.4%, driven by improving investor confidence and a declining budget deficit, which supported new investments in residential, infrastructure and commercial construction projects.

The industry is expected to continue to expand over the forecast period (2018-2022) as the government continues to implement major structural reforms to revitalize the economy growth. This is expected to restore business confidence and drive funds towards construction projects. Moreover, the governments large-scale investments in transport, energy and residential infrastructure projects will also drive industry growth over the forecast period.

The industry’s output value in real terms increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.63% during the review period (2013-2017), and is expected to post a CAGR of 12.57% over the forecast period.

Key Highlights

Timetric expects the infrastructure construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 40.1% of the industry’s total value in 2022. In January 2018, the government announced plans to spend UAH323.8 billion (US$11.4 billion) on the construction of road infrastructure by 2023. Under this, the government plans to modernize 9,100km of highways and completely renovate 1,000km of roads across the country by 2023.

In January 2018, to support economic development and growth, the government launched the Digital Economy Strategy. Through this, the government aims to create investment opportunities, and ensure social and economic inclusion. Accordingly, the government is planning to ensure digitalization in the sectors such as medical, education, ecology, transport and infrastructure by 2021. It also plans to equip 80% of households with a high speed broadband connection by 2021. This will support construction activity in the telecommunications category.

Timetric expects the energy and utilities construction market output to record a forecast-period CAGR of 19.73% in nominal terms, driven by the governments focus on increasing countrys renewable energy generation capacity. The government plans to increase the share of renewable energy in the countrys total energy mix from 4.0% in 2017 to 25.0% by 2035. To meet this target, the government aims to invest UAH210.0 billion (US$7.9 billion) annually by 2035.

In 2017, PrivatBank, a large commercial bank in Ukraine, signed a contract with State Mortgage Institution with the aim to increasing the lending process for the construction of affordable houses. In addition, Citic, a Chinese state-owned company, sanctioned a loan of UAH327.7 billion (US$15.0 billion) to the government for the construction of affordable houses until by 2030.

The total construction project pipeline in Ukraine as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) – including all mega-projects with a value above US$25 million – stands at UAH1.9 trillion (US$71.0 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is well balanced, with 50.6% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-planning and planning stages as of April 2018.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Ukraine. It provides –
– Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in Ukraine, featuring details of key growth drivers.
– Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
– Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
– Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.

Reasons to buy

– Identify and evaluate market opportunities using Timetric’s standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
– Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
– Understand the latest industry and market trends.
– Formulate and validate strategy using Timetric’s critical and actionable insight.
– Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
– Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.